In a fresh interview with IGN, Valve developer Lawrence Yang spoke about a number of things and it sounds like you may get your Steam Deck perhaps a little sooner than expected.
Right now, Valve use a special queue system giving reservations a rather broad time on when to expect a Steam Deck delivery like Q2 or after-Q2. The good news is though, production is quickly ramping up. Yang mentioned how "in production terms it'll ramp very quickly, in the first month very quickly we'll be in the tens of thousands, by the second month we'll be in the hundreds of thousands and beyond that it'll grow even quicker". Yang also mentioned how once they get into the after-Q2 launch period, things will get a lot clearer.
Full video is below:
Direct Link
Sadly Valve will not give numbers yet but they do seem surprised at the level of sales on the Deck. Sounds like it has pretty clearly been a hit already, which is good news!
Yang also made it clear they are in touch with many developers to get them to support the Deck. That goes for both fixing bugs in Proton and helping developers to enable anti-cheat. Just yesterday we saw Apex Legends start working (my video), although no one has announced anything on it yet.
Min 6.48 and 9.04 in this video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zw54nB5BQpM
Two interesting things that Gabe mentioned in an interview were that a) the most expensive SKU was the most pre-ordered one (far more than the cheapest one), which might convince Valve to create more feature-rich models in the future, and b) the demand for the Deck was much more higher than they expected.Went over bullet points on that in a previous article ;)
Min 6.48 and 9.04 in this video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zw54nB5BQpM
Ah, my bad. Well, nevertheless, it was worth mentioning it again.
And how much the Linux % will rise over the years....
Exciting times!
Hmm, let's math it out: so if March is "the first month", then "tens of thousands" is at least 20k. Then at least 200k for "hundreds of thousands" in April ("the second month"). "Beyond that it'll grow even quicker" but we don't have numbers, so assuming another (counterfactual) 200k for May and June, that's at bare minimum 620k units sold by the end of Q2, and probably a lot more. On the assumption that April is instead "the first month" (maybe they're still shaking the production line out in March), that's still 420k units (and again, probably a lot more).That suggests that if March is the first month, by the beginning of May the Deck should be noticeably impacting the Linux numbers on Steam.
Exciting times!
People have no doubt done this. But then, people have made lots of grammatical errors; doesn't make them correct. Technically, though, if you have less than a second thousand you do not have plural thousands, much the way if you have one thing you do not have "a thousand" things. Part of another thousand is not another thousand. A man holding another man's liver in his hand cannot be described as "men".Hmm, let's math it out: so if March is "the first month", then "tens of thousands" is at least 20k. Then at least 200k for "hundreds of thousands" in April ("the second month"). "Beyond that it'll grow even quicker" but we don't have numbers, so assuming another (counterfactual) 200k for May and June, that's at bare minimum 620k units sold by the end of Q2, and probably a lot more. On the assumption that April is instead "the first month" (maybe they're still shaking the production line out in March), that's still 420k units (and again, probably a lot more).11k can qualify as "tens of thousands", and 101k can also qualify as "hundreds of thousands". Wouldn't be the first time (at all) people used those numbers as such.
Exciting times!
Contrariwise, a release in February can accurately be described as a February release.
The guy sounded pretty confident, and seems to be a developer, not a PR person. I doubt he was pulling such a stunt.
All that aside, I doubt they will go from only 10,000 the first month to over 100,000 the second month, which would be ten times the production. Most likely there will be several tens of thousands shipped the first month and well over one hundred thousand the second month. If they made 80,000 the first month and only tripled production the second month they would be at 240,000 for the second month (or 320,000 total). That seems a more realistic way to view the comment (though the numbers could be less and still work).
Last edited by CFWhitman on 4 March 2022 at 5:07 am UTC
(And of course, that's not taking into account the "beyond that it'll grow even quicker" comment after the end of May.)
*Debatably; that's the level of pedantry I'd expect out of Microsoft lawyers fighting a billion-dollar anti-trust fine, and I don't agree that anyone using "tens of thousands" colloquially—as Yang is clearly doing here—would agree that it could be interpreted that way.
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